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Post Info TOPIC: Official Lieutenant Prediction Thread
How big will the Lt’s List be? [113 vote(s)]

Less than 1000
16.8%
1000-1500
35.4%
1500-2000
31.0%
2000+
16.8%


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Official Lieutenant Prediction Thread


Since this board is pure speculation at this point, lets take some bets. Anything you post here will be held against you in the future. You are to make an official prediction as to the list size and outcome. If you are right, you will be able to cite this thread as a source for I told you so credit. If you are wrong, may God eternal damn your soul to eternal suffering.


I predict a 2000+ list with most, if not all, names being called for promotion.



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Ginormous list as the same formula/company that curved the other exams is doing this one too.

The requirement to be a supervisor now is to sit in a chair for 6 hours and dont take your cellphone out.

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2000 +. Is pretty much everyone that Took it



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I rise wrote:

2000 +. Is pretty much everyone that Took it


 2465 took the exam 



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I rise wrote:

2000 +. Is pretty much everyone that Took it


 I rise, im pretty confident to say that betting against you is like free money. You have been so consistently wrong that I wish I could take you to vegas and just bet the opposite of you. 



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Thats why i said almost everyone 2000 + could be any amount but thats the majority 



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And everyone has been wrong on this thread far as list the Last two sgt exams everyone was surprised with number



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I say 1500-1700

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The uncle believes itll be a 1000 person list. More than that is just silly.
Long live Yano

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Smart money is on Satcom. In Satcom we trust. This UncleC guy seems to miss the mark a lot 



-- Edited by Mufinman21 on Friday 12th of May 2023 06:37:05 PM

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Ill hold off on any comments till DRpapi gives us any info. But again, 1000

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UncleC69 wrote:

Ill hold off on any comments till DRpapi gives us any info. But again, 1000


 Too late uncle, youve made your prediction. the die is cast



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Thats like a 62 and above

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DrPapi whats your take ?

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Futureauxiliary wrote:

DrPapi whats your take ?


 Guidelines. They need to be respected. What's the point of the guidelines if they aren't respected?



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I have been wrong many times on this forum as well alot of rumors and false info gets spread around. My one good source has been pretty on point last year or so and she called every Promo and class info for the SGT, and she says Lt list is getting curved 100% similar to the SGT and Captain list so I would assume it most likely will at the very least be close to 1500 idk about 2000 but just a guess.

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I agree Its gonna be a 2000 plus list. 



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Taketheday wrote:

I have been wrong many times on this forum as well alot of rumors and false info gets spread around. My one good source has been pretty on point last year or so and she called every Promo and class info for the SGT, and she says Lt list is getting curved 100% similar to the SGT and Captain list so I would assume it most likely will at the very least be close to 1500 idk about 2000 but just a guess.


 Thanks youve always been on point!



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1200-1300 names

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This is BS, I called my lawyer Monday will put In lawsuit, if your dumb axx failed to failed!!!!!!!

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Lawsuit . Go ahead then the people who failed will sue because the sgt and cpt exam were curved. Haha

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I feel like were on an episode of The Price is Right. Im gonna go with 1 Bob.

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My guess is 800-1000

If its over 1500 list will be cut at 1000

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TheNarcoRanger wrote:

My guess is 800-1000

If its over 1500 list will be cut at 1000


 I disagree, last list made more than 1000



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Again just because 1000+ got promoted last time doesnt mean the same again this time. Retirements have slowed down and with the new contracts people are going to be leaving in droves. I said 1000 but I think it gets cut before that to be honest. Aint no way they replace more then 50 percent of the jobs lieutenants again in 4 years. 



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Once again all speculation but if you look at the NYPD 360 application, the amount of LTs 20+ & approaching 20, would say otherwise.

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If like the Sgt exam, people might be jumping about 15-20 points from their original raw score

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That gives people in the 40,s a shot lol



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Caralho wrote:
TheNarcoRanger wrote:

My guess is 800-1000

If its over 1500 list will be cut at 1000


 I disagree, last list made more than 1000


 1250 in 5 years. Thats 250 per year. Average is 180-200 a year. 



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List will be around 1,500.00. My guess. We shall see

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List will be 2650. Everyone makes it nowdays.  No point of studying anymore 



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^ what Joe said. Just hit submit, get bars

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Im here for it

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Does anyone know any statistical info about this exam, besides how many took it? Do we know what the average was? Or how many passers for sure?

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What a looooooooser 



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1250.

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1250 huh. Thats the number floating around

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Thats a good amount at first people were saying 300-400 passers

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Ididntmakethecut wrote:

Thats a good amount at first people were saying 300-400 passers


 There is absolutely no way 1250 people passed that exam 



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They don't need to ruin the Lt rank like the Sgt rank has been ruined. Hopefully it's a list of people who originally passed and those who made it after the TVB. Those who make it, make it. Those who fail, failed. Ive passed 3 tests, failed 1. It happens, that's life. 



-- Edited by Bill Parcells on Saturday 17th of June 2023 10:53:46 PM

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Lol man a lot of people who passed those fair exams in the past will hardly pass these new exams, or even hit a 70



-- Edited by 3testwonder on Saturday 17th of June 2023 11:02:23 PM



-- Edited by 3testwonder on Saturday 17th of June 2023 11:03:27 PM

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Bklynsouth3020 wrote:
Ididntmakethecut wrote:

Thats a good amount at first people were saying 300-400 passers


 There is absolutely no way 1250 people passed that exam 


 1250 with throwouts and a curve



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No1isbetter wrote:

1250.


 This is the number thats confirmed with Curve and Throwouts? Or just a guess from you. I have been hearing 1500



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If this is legit, when can we expect the list to come out?

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You guys taking the hook and the sinker. The validation board didnt even sit down yet and some kid has a number of passers. No-one knows any numbers until throw outs are done. Im surprised Papi guy didnt put his fake news 2 cents in yet

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GuysI dont come here to make rumors. I do give opinions & honest ones. I also am a realist & I dont really have time for nonsense. 1250 was my guess. Why 1250. Well both the Sgt & Capt list make up 50%+ of exam takers. So its only a legitimate guess that we stay at 50% for LTs. In a weird way, its a pretty prestigious rank. Dont have to deal with the nonsense of running a command, nor the BS Sgts have to put up with. If 2 Sgts are in, you got the day to yourself. That being said. Ppl stay longer as LTs, the OT is there, the pay is good. I say this list is 1200, MAYBE 1300. I met in the middle but I still think 1200. If I have to BET, Id say UNDER 1250.



-- Edited by No1isbetter on Sunday 18th of June 2023 12:53:52 AM

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No1isbetter wrote:

GuysI dont come here to make rumors. I do give opinions & honest ones. I also am a realist & I dont really have time for nonsense. 1250 was my guess. Why 1250. Well both the Sgt & Capt list make up 50%+ of exam takers. So its only a legitimate guess that we stay at 50% for LTs. In a weird way, its a pretty prestigious rank. Dont have to deal with the nonsense of running a command, nor the BS Sgts have to put up with. If 2 Sgts are in, you got the day to yourself. That being said. Ppl stay longer as LTs, the OT is there, the pay is good. I say this list is 1200, MAYBE 1300. I met in the middle but I still think 1200. If I have to BET, Id say UNDER 1250.



-- Edited by No1isbetter on Sunday 18th of June 2023 12:53:52 AM


 i'm with you..

 

right on par with my 1200-1300 guess-timate.

My next guess-timate will be that the list is out in late September. 



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if its 1250 names maybe ill make it

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saharadesert23 wrote:

if its 1250 names maybe ill make it


 your score is too low youll die on the list



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saharadesert23 wrote:
saharadesert23 wrote:

if its 1250 names maybe ill make it


 your score is too low youll die on the list


 if im on the list they have to promote me



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