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Post Info TOPIC: What do we think the total number of passers will look like?


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What do we think the total number of passers will look like?


I'm going to say 250 to 350.



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Nah.  More like 500-650 when its all said and done. 



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Also, where did this number 128 come from?  



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I think 128 is probably true as of now. After throw outs anywhere from 250 - 500, couldn't see more or less than that.

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bigfoot45 wrote:

Also, where did this number 128 come from?  


 i read it from ondeeair. before I left my protest on tuesday I told the DCAS employee "i heard less than 5% passed, thats 128 out of 2600 people" her response was "i can not confirm that but I heard the same thing"



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DOS_EQUIS wrote:
bigfoot45 wrote:

Also, where did this number 128 come from?  


 i read it from ondeeair. before I left my protest on tuesday I told the DCAS employee "i heard less than 5% passed, thats 128 out of 2600 people" her response was "i can not confirm that but I heard the same thing"


 She must read the "Rising Star Enquirer" also.



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I say 400



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only my prediction: if 128 scantrons passing at the moment. plus a round 32 military and sabbath who pass. that totals to 150. not sure what they will do a list of 150. with a few throw outs i would guess approximately 350 people will make the list.   



-- Edited by DOS_EQUIS on Friday 15th of May 2015 02:34:33 AM

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Not sure how accurate this is but I was told they promote about 180 Lts a year. Current list is coming up on 3 years with 99 names left.

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This list will have about 300 people with the Hebrews and military guys

Another test in 2016

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400 tops

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128 now, about 250 after sabbath /military scammers. And depending on throw outs I see the list going over 400. Just my guesstamation.

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DETSGT wrote:

128 now, about 250 after sabbath /military scammers. And depending on throw outs I see the list going over 400. Just my guesstamation.


According to the Gamblor: Yes, higher percentage of people that take the exam on the alternate date do pass. However, the number of people that take that exam is not very large. For example, in another thread, someone stated that 53 people took the makeup exam for the 2011 Lieutenants exam, and 44 passed. The actual number was 32 and only 17 passed (passing rate of 53%). That is higher than the 29% of people that passed the exam on the initial date, but not as astronomical as initially insinuated. At the end of the day, 17 people, out of a total 2295 who sat for the 2011 Lieutenants exam, may have benefited in some way due to the alternate test date.

However, he also stated "I highly doubt that anyone in 1PP has knowledge of the numbers that passed yet (at least not anyone that is going to share that information). Second, 128 passers would put the passing rate at the lowest of any promotional exam ever in the NYPD. Based on the scores discussed here, I doubt that is accurate."



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So nobody knows where the 128 rumor/fact started?  



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bigfoot45 wrote:

So nobody knows where the 128 rumor/fact started?

 

@ DCAS.



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wisecop wrote:
bigfoot45 wrote:

So nobody knows where the 128 rumor/fact started?

 

@ DCAS.


 They make a copy pre-scanning for informational and integrity reason.  In all likelyhood they knew that monday how many people passed.  Is not rocket science nor is it a military secret.  No one besides the people who took the test care about the number, the info is reliable.



-- Edited by wisecop on Friday 15th of May 2015 03:35:46 PM

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I think a 250-350 list.. 2011 test had 19 double/throwout answers and added about 400. If we get 10 double/ throwout answers that is about half of 2011. So figure add another 200 to our list.. From what I am hearing it looks like possible 10 questions have a chance to get double/throwout answers . let's just hope the protest board rules in our favor. I still am not sold on the fact that they have to throw out answers just to establish a big list. It is obvious they could give a f@#k how many of us pass.

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UC5673 wrote:

Nah.  More like 500-650 when its all said and done. 


 AGREE 100%,...guys, think about it,..the job has to make a LIST,...130 passers is way too low,..plus the questions that we all got wrong actually have potential of being throw out and/or being a double/triple answers,...



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I think 450-500

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GDASSCLUB wrote:

I think a 250-350 list.. 2011 test had 19 double/throwout answers and added about 400. If we get 10 double/ throwout answers that is about half of 2011. So figure add another 200 to our list.. From what I am hearing it looks like possible 10 questions have a chance to get double/throwout answers . let's just hope the protest board rules in our favor. I still am not sold on the fact that they have to throw out answers just to establish a big list. It is obvious they could give a f@#k how many of us pass.


 I agree.  If that was the case then they wouldn't have given a SGT test every year from 06-09.



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bigfoot45 wrote:

So nobody knows where the 128 rumor/fact started?  


 follow me.. I read it from ondeeair. before I left my protest on tuesday I told the DCAS employee "i heard less than 5% passed, thats 128 out of 2600 people" her response was "i can not confirm that but I heard the same thing"

 

If you are asking where ondeeair got the info, thats another question. But while at the protest a DCAS employee told me "she could not confirm the rumor of 128, but she heard the same thing."



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400---and not less then

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I say 500-600 tops. Job will make list. Good luck to all with a 60 or better

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Papi... I think any shot MAY START at 65 or better.
What you at?

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67 on 2015 Lt Exam. DISGRACE!

 

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Who ever has a 60 plus has a shot here

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I think a 65+ has a shot. Unfort my 63 will be on the outside looking in I feel...

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400-500. lets all be honest with ourselves here. it is the same script everytime. there will be throwouts and doubles. and the chances there is 6-9 are extremely good. why?? cause 128 simply doesn't work. you know that, I know that, and the dept knows that. and as far as the dept has NO input in the numbers they need. check ur facts. u are wrong. in every sense of wrong. this list if ur at 65 & over u have a very good shot

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I thought this Capt. Insano made the test so solid and secure there wouldn't be any double answers or throwouts?

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ondeeair2321 wrote:

400-500. lets all be honest with ourselves here. it is the same script everytime. there will be throwouts and doubles. and the chances there is 6-9 are extremely good. why?? cause 128 simply doesn't work. you know that, I know that, and the dept knows that. and as far as the dept has NO input in the numbers they need. check ur facts. u are wrong. in every sense of wrong. this list if ur at 65 & over u have a very good shot


 Ondeeair, If the job is going to "fix the protest" please tell me why there was a Sgt exam four years in a row and 

A captain exam almost every year or so.   



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bigfoot45 wrote:
ondeeair2321 wrote:

400-500. lets all be honest with ourselves here. it is the same script everytime. there will be throwouts and doubles. and the chances there is 6-9 are extremely good. why?? cause 128 simply doesn't work. you know that, I know that, and the dept knows that. and as far as the dept has NO input in the numbers they need. check ur facts. u are wrong. in every sense of wrong. this list if ur at 65 & over u have a very good shot


 Ondeeair, If the job is going to "fix the protest" please tell me why there was a Sgt exam four years in a row and 

A captain exam almost every year or so.   


Well barely anyone takes the Capt exam anymore (cpl hundred prob), and the Sgts contract was screwed up back then.The SBA did not wait for the PBAs perb decision an wound up getting an inferior contract. It took a little while to fix and not many were taking the Sgts test around that time. The Capts exam definitily has a far better passing rate than this exam and I'm sure the past Sgts exams had better rates as well.



-- Edited by Devil Dog on Tuesday 19th of May 2015 04:20:07 PM

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After looking over some of the questions again with the exception of #106 I honestly don't see many throw outs. Of course I could be wrong but I just don't see it.

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45

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Don't forget #89.  That's the question with the typo that made it impossible to understand.



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54 also.  Terribly written.



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45 and 54 for sure, and #1 is a double answer. Also, #5, 7, & 10 had major holes in them



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54 is a tough one.   I dropped but I don't know if my answer is any better or as good as theirs... I can't tell if their answer is wrong neither.



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