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Feel good about this I got 26 wrong matching my answer sheet to this master list. Feel a lot better then yesterday lol

Completely agree

i have best case 17 wrong from 130

worst case 27 wrong From 130 

10 of them were practically split answers so not sure if I'm wrong or right we need more sheets harass people!

Its enough to ease the nervs and hopefully some "wrong" answers were experimental.. 

I def passed..hurray

hopefully everyone else here has good news

Arrow wrote:

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JUST SENT YOU MY ANSWERS. BUT WHATS GOING TO HAPPEN TO THE PEOPLE THAT DIDNT GET TO FINISH? I ONLY GOT TO 112. THIS EXAM SHOULD HAD BEEN 7-8 HRS TO BE FAIR.

-- Edited by Arrow on Sunday 20th of October 2013 06:22:06 PM

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 The time allotted seems to be the most common complaint, probably the only complaint, about this test.  Unfortunately, if you didn't mark an answer, it will be considered wrong.  You can hope that there was a disproportionate number of research questions in those last 18, but statistically, there is probably only 4 or so.

These feel like Election Night results.

Question 48 is still too close to call
Fox News is now confirming that Question 72 and its 13 electoral votes will go to answer A

The force figure question is always all over the place, and EVERYONE always thinks they got it right.  It's just counting people, how hard is that?!?!

my chance of passing increase by +2 with 39 keys =/

-- Edited by Nay on Monday 21st of October 2013 02:02:21 AM

I get a best an worst score but the possible score says "#name?" in the box any one knwo why? Im using open office

-- Edited by 32forLife on Monday 21st of October 2013 02:16:44 AM

MJV231 wrote:

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so based on your program, are the scores accounting for the questions that "won't" be counted?

another thing is that we dont know if they are going to count them or not...

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 The Best Possible assumes that you had the 30 research questions wrong while the worst possible assumes the opposite (both unlikely).  The Most Likely takes the percentage of your total wrong answers and applies the same percentage to 30 and assigning you points appropriately.  Some people will be on either side of it, but mathematically, it should be accurate for most.

Just PM'd you my answer key. i have a mac and am using the numbers program, so a few formulas did not make the cross over from excel. mainly the color highlighting of my right/wrong/and double answers. and the number of "possible doubles-have one" and the "most likely score" both are zero right now. my highest likely says 100 and my worst case says 80.

mk06 wrote:

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Just PM'd you my answer key. i have a mac and am using the numbers program, so a few formulas did not make the cross over from excel. mainly the color highlighting of my right/wrong/and double answers. and the number of "possible doubles-have one" and the "most likely score" both are zero right now. my highest likely says 100 and my worst case says 80.

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 Sent you a PM with your results.

so I have to redownload and replug the answers?

Jdawg wrote:

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Hey gamblor did you get my PM with my answers? I have Mac also but I'm on my iPad so how can I plug these numbers in or do u do them?

-- Edited by Jdawg on Sunday 20th of October 2013 07:57:30 PM

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 Sent you a PM.

Best: 83
Likely: 63
Worst: 49

See ya in two years! LOL!

seamus wrote:

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hopefully that last update is LESS accurate. Everytime you do an update my scores go down

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 My "worst" score has gone up over these updates.  The most likely has only gone up 1.

Jdawg wrote:

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Best possible 98
Most likely. 73
Worst possible 65

Is this good or bad? Anyone care to fill me in? Im freaking out here. I go to top pay sgt if I pass and with my seniority points and medals, that can bump me another 8 points.

-- Edited by Jdawg on Sunday 20th of October 2013 08:41:23 PM

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 Here are some slightly updated scores for you.  Only a minor change.  I would say that you are safe in the mid 70s.

 

Potential Score
Best Possible	98
Most Likely	74
Worst Possible	66

Updated to 31 keys.

Thanks brother gamblor. Hope this algorithm is accurate as everyone says. Hey you created the OT track program that everyone uses? We use that in Occb all the time and it's great. Keep on keeping on. Can you update mine as you come across more updates please?

Wingnut wrote:

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Jdawg...

My numbers are Best 100, Most likely 81, Worst 75.

I feel thats a good sign, but I'm not convinced.

First, it's a pretty small sample size.

I'm also less confident in what 30 questions were used for research and the statistics of those fake questions being statistically on par with the rest of the exam (meaning I'm not confident that just because I got 80% of the 100 good questions correct doesn't mean that same % applies to the fakes, therefore skewing what we are putting together here) 130 is just too small a smaple which leaves the standard deviations large.

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 A lot of what you say is right.  30 questions out of 130 is a very significant amount and makes the numbers much harder to judge.  The assumption I have been working on is that the "research" questions do not differ drastically from "non-research" questions.  Since they were all Patrol Guide related, and so far, no one has said that any particular set of questions jumped out at them, it's a reasonable assumption for them to not differ much in the results.

Jdawg wrote:

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Thanks brother gamblor. Hope this algorithm is accurate as everyone says. Hey you created the OT track program that everyone uses? We use that in Occb all the time and it's great. Keep on keeping on. Can you update mine as you come across more updates please?

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 Thanks.  I made the OT program about 8 years ago and it has slowly expanded into the monstrosity it now is, but I'm glad it gets so much usage.

With the update I now have 30 wrong total, so if accurate I pass no matter what.

it said worst possible 73 and best possible 100....any opinions? not too familiar with excel and its accuracy

What are we at now with the updated results? @wing nut that's pretty good even though there are so many variables to determine. I suggest that, like mike Yanosik from the elite said, everyone should attend that protest session and see what you got. but also let them know how you felt about this test (the time frame given for an extra 30 questions) and focus on the duplicate question and any other test based questions that you guys can think of where you were on the fence with the answer. I have a few in my mind that should be thrown out as being too borderline with the answer choice they gave. If anyone can think of questions for us to formulate, PM me so we can go to Dcas with a list of unfair questions and hopefully get them thrown out. These promotional class teachers, from fast track to elite to rising star and the key, would have protested the questions they thought were too tricky or too misleading but since they were unable to take the test, the cannot be our voice. Mike Yanosik said everyone should try to attend, it's for our own benefit and the future of our careers...

I am still holding steady at 26 how many names added to the master list so far if I may please inquire?