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some more info, please correct if wrong. 

out of the 755 from the last list,  674 were ultimately promoted.  So 81 people were permanently passed over, resigned, gave up the promotion, etc.

 

-- Edited by Abeyance on Monday 15th of October 2012 11:33:59 PM

Did a little research and found 161 promotions to Lt. so far this year (includes both lists).

Add the upcoming class of 27, and it becomes 188.  If there is one more class left for the year, it will be over 200.

I was also reading the article about the wave of possible large number of retirements for the next couple of years. 

Will this mean our list will be moving quite fast?  Is it logical to think there will be at least 200 lts made a year, possibly more.

Whadaya think

I sure hope you guys are right! I need to get the f*%^ out of where I am and my # is a while away!!

Great job abeyance. His many promoted so far just from the 1534 list

Abeyance wrote:

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looks like 92 from our list,

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That actually sucks. If you look at Unborns list, the main reason there are so many pass overs is because of ineligibility due to time in rank.  Many of the passovers aren't eligible until Oct, Nov, Dec and Feb.  So it looks like we'll be stuck around list # 130 for the next 4 months at least.   

lmao!!! Love your optimism. I hope I am merry by spring. Even if it is "that" unit!!!

keep them coming

146 if my math is correct

Soo it looks like there will only be about 300 new Lts for the entire rank by the time this new Captains test rolls around. Not a good showing for the last test plus a small pool of fresh blood = another small Captains list!!!!!!!!

Is there a good chance that low 500's could get promoted by end of 2014?? Or are the chances slim??

Yes thanks i also do..on the pace of 200 a year it would get to 500 in dec 2014, i was hoping maybe it would pick up the pace in the next year or so but prob will keep going at this rate

Possibly. Maybe closer to fall

End of 2014 at the earliest

twntynout wrote:

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Im in mid 400's and im still hoping to get promoted by summer of '14....sounds about right?

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 Me too, I think way before the end of 2014, probably next spring.  Someone on the sgt's forum said, 1pp expects increased and steady Lt. retirements. 

it is an ambitious statement, I know. But it has happened before, where 250+ were promoted in a year. Don't forget not every single person is getting promoted, ( I hope all do ), but it seems about 10% do not. Thats already 30 or so less for the time period we are talking about. Can 260-270 get made between now and next year april, I think so. My argument also relies on the notion that, many of the 'Safe Street' recruits 20 plus years ago will leave in the next several years in good numbers.

Down 11 and 33 terminal  

-- Edited by nycop80 on Saturday 2nd of March 2013 02:34:48 AM

thanks

yes , was typo

If you start from June of 2012 then yes.

Bump

yesterday was the retirement date. give it till at least Monday.

Lt. promotions YTD

Total # of promotions for exam #1534 = 446 Lts. since the list was established, (June  of 2012).

2014 - 126 as of 7/28/14
2013 - 199
2012 - 190 (121 from exam 1534)
2011 - 189
2010 - 171
2009 - 117
2008 - 128
2007 - 228
2006 - 209
2005 - 261
2004 - 211

-- Edited by Abeyance on Monday 30th of September 2013 07:21:56 PM

-- Edited by Abeyance on Friday 25th of October 2013 04:46:05 PM

-- Edited by Abeyance on Saturday 29th of March 2014 09:30:57 PM

-- Edited by Abeyance on Friday 1st of August 2014 11:20:40 PM

-- Edited by Abeyance on Friday 1st of August 2014 11:23:12 PM

I thinking theres 2 more classes this year. Sept/Oct and probably December. Assuming 30 each that'll bring us to that 200 mark.

Gomery2898 wrote:

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wereinbacklog wrote:

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Definitely 2 more classes remaining.  Hopefully the job does the right thing and promote those candidates before the Captain exam (for those interested).

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 Don't see two more classes going in before the Captain exam. I'm thinking one more class in September, nothing in October and maybe another in November. But the November class will not be promoted in time for the exam since Thanksgiving would fall a week before the promotions(Nov 29th[Thanksgiving is on the 21st]). I based this on the projected numbers and the fact that they have promotions scheduled for September(Sgts). I took another look at the numbers and it seems November will be a long shot unless they promote Captains, so December looks more probable.

-- Edited by Gomery2898 on Saturday 31st of August 2013 05:42:17 PM

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 Thanksgiving is on the 28th.