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No one knows just wait and see. The way these exams have been turning out is a gamble and what we think is logic does not always turn out to be the case.
I agree with Daniel Son no one knows what will be the outcome. But for ****s and giggles if we r guessing i say 6. That will follow the pattern 10 throwouts for Sgt's exam rumored 8 throwouts for Lt's exam. So its only fitting it will be 6 for Capt's exam.