looks like 15-18 throwouts/doubles, dare i ask how big the list will be and how low the scores may be that make it
Bumpy said
May 5, 2012
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
Bumpy said
May 5, 2012
GLG20 wrote:
Bumpy wrote:
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
Quite a pickle of a math question, isn't it?
there must be a math wiz out there
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:16:11 AM
technocrat1 said
May 5, 2012
If we use the total test takers at 2500, with the initial passing of 241=9% 600 passing=24% 700 passing=28% --- i don't see the list reaching or breaking 30% passing. It's statistically improbable, all things being equal with past testing ratios. --- just trying to be logical, using prior passing ratios. --- hope this helps
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:36:52 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:09 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:44 AM
WANNABELT_ said
May 5, 2012
Bumpy wrote:
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
With 15-18 throwouts I estimate a 2500-2800 person list.
Bumpy said
May 5, 2012
WANNABELT_ wrote:
Bumpy wrote:
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
With 15-18 throwouts I estimate a 2500-2800 person list.
lol
GLG20 said
May 5, 2012
Bumpy wrote:
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
Quite a pickle of a math question, isn't it?
Bumpy said
May 5, 2012
maybe thats enough to make most of the 60's
GLG20 said
May 5, 2012
I guarantee you that the lowest score that makes the list is 70.
NYPD231 said
May 5, 2012
Geek. Just kidding; thanks
Abeyance said
May 5, 2012
if the 900 list is true, anyone as low as a 56-58 can make it. I just dont think there are that many
GLG20 said
May 5, 2012
Abeyance wrote:
if the 900 list is true, anyone as low as a 56-58 can make it. I just dont think there are that many
Abeyance said
May 5, 2012
exactly, can there be over 700 people in the 60s?
technocrat1 said
May 5, 2012
no problem nypd231.
NextLtTest said
May 5, 2012
I heard that someone with a 58 passed. Do not beat me up. I am putting out what I heard 3rd hand. Take it for what it is worth, which is probably nothing but that is what I heard.
nycop80 said
May 5, 2012
it very possible that a 58 passed with that many throw outs. We shall see soon enough, hopefully may 9th.
1534sux said
May 5, 2012
nycop80 wrote:
it very possible that a 58 passed with that many throw outs. We shall see soon enough, hopefully may 9th.
Wasn't this one of the math questions on the test
doctorjay said
May 5, 2012
how do you know that someone with a 58 passed? that means list is made.
Bumpy said
May 6, 2012
technocrat1 wrote:
If we use the total test takers at 2500, with the initial passing of 241=9% 600 passing=24% 700 passing=28% --- i don't see the list reaching or breaking 30% passing. It's statistically improbable, all things being equal with past testing ratios. --- just trying to be logical, using prior passing ratios. --- hope this helps
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:36:52 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:09 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:44 AM
not bad... now run those numbers with only 150 passing and lets see the ratios
habidasheryauto4 said
May 6, 2012
I got the same info a few hours later, but good work, keep the good info comin pal. And as far as info, well someone has to know the LT from the 70, and he has all the answers we need. Someone just needs to put the squeeze on him.
-- Edited by nycop80 on Sunday 6th of May 2012 06:50:30 AM
technocrat1 said
May 6, 2012
150 passing= 6 %, with the same 2500 total test takers. 500 passing= 20%
600 and 700 are the same as I previously posted. Pretty high percentage of people passing if we reach those figures. I don't recall seeing numbers that high for previous exams, percentage wise. Maybe someone has some info on prior exams. We could see the number of test takers in comparison to how many hit the 70 and above. Prior tests that did not invoke the 70 or better rule will skew the data, so those shouldn't be utilized. My point is even though we have approximately 18 questions that are going to change, statistically, not everyone will gain every one of them. So to use simple math and assume all you have to do is add 18 to your raw score wouldn't be remotely accurate.
OkeeDokee said
May 6, 2012
People should keep in mind that these numbers of bad questions are likely total horse****. Merely knowing a captain in the building means nothing. And nobody in OMAP knows anything. A lot of these numbers seem to have been generated on the forum itself and then taken a life of their own outside of the forum.
Jimmy McNulty IV said
May 6, 2012
OkeeDokee wrote:
People should keep in mind that these numbers of bad questions are likely total horse****. Merely knowing a captain in the building means nothing. And nobody in OMAP knows anything. A lot of these numbers seem to have been generated on the forum itself and then taken a life of their own outside of the forum.
Guy do you know you have an elephant head as your avatar
OkeeDokee said
May 6, 2012
Jimmy McNulty IV wrote:
OkeeDokee wrote:
People should keep in mind that these numbers of bad questions are likely total horse****. Merely knowing a captain in the building means nothing. And nobody in OMAP knows anything. A lot of these numbers seem to have been generated on the forum itself and then taken a life of their own outside of the forum.
Guy do you know you have an elephant head as your avatar
Yes.
Jimmy McNulty IV said
May 6, 2012
OkeeDokee wrote:
Jimmy McNulty IV wrote:
OkeeDokee wrote:
People should keep in mind that these numbers of bad questions are likely total horse****. Merely knowing a captain in the building means nothing. And nobody in OMAP knows anything. A lot of these numbers seem to have been generated on the forum itself and then taken a life of their own outside of the forum.
Guy do you know you have an elephant head as your avatar
Yes.
lol
Edubz said
May 6, 2012
OMAP is not involved in the testing process.
E D said
May 6, 2012
Someone somewhere knows something. All these questions can be answered with a few keystrokes. It's just kept a secret. Rumors start somewhere. Congrats to all those who scored 60+ you will be LT eventuallly. Mark my words.........
GLG20 said
May 6, 2012
E D wrote:
Someone somewhere knows something. All these questions can be answered with a few keystrokes. It's just kept a secret. Rumors start somewhere. Congrats to all those who scored 60+ you will be LT eventuallly. Mark my words.........
Yes. Many of them start here. For example- the number of sabbath passers...
what do you think the list may be and how low of a score will make the list
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:10:26 AM
there must be a math wiz out there
-- Edited by Bumpy on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:16:11 AM
If we use the total test takers at 2500, with the initial passing of 241=9%
600 passing=24%
700 passing=28%
---
i don't see the list reaching or breaking 30% passing. It's statistically improbable, all things being equal with past testing ratios.
---
just trying to be logical, using prior passing ratios.
---
hope this helps
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:36:52 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:09 AM
-- Edited by technocrat1 on Saturday 5th of May 2012 01:38:44 AM
With 15-18 throwouts I estimate a 2500-2800 person list.
lol
Quite a pickle of a math question, isn't it?
maybe thats enough to make most of the 60's
not bad... now run those numbers with only 150 passing and lets see the ratios
I got the same info a few hours later, but good work, keep the good info comin pal. And as far as info, well someone has to know the LT from the 70, and he has all the answers we need. Someone just needs to put the squeeze on him.
-- Edited by nycop80 on Sunday 6th of May 2012 06:50:30 AM
500 passing= 20%
600 and 700 are the same as I previously posted. Pretty high percentage of people passing if we reach those figures. I don't recall seeing numbers that high for previous exams, percentage wise. Maybe someone has some info on prior exams. We could see the number of test takers in comparison to how many hit the 70 and above. Prior tests that did not invoke the 70 or better rule will skew the data, so those shouldn't be utilized. My point is even though we have approximately 18 questions that are going to change, statistically, not everyone will gain every one of them. So to use simple math and assume all you have to do is add 18 to your raw score wouldn't be remotely accurate.
Guy do you know you have an elephant head as your avatar
Yes.
lol
think we all just need a group hug