Official Lieutenant Prediction Thread
vote(s)
Post Reply| Less than 1000 |
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16.8% | |
| 1000-1500 |
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35.4% | |
| 1500-2000 |
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31.0% | |
| 2000+ |
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16.8% |
Is this information solid?
Do they consider DIs and above to be vacancies against Capts ?
This is ridiculous lol
Really good standard to have
I sure wont apologize for making Lieutenant under these standards
Im pretty sure its curve points then throwout if im not mistaken and if that gets you to a 70, then thats when Longevity/Fitness/Award Points kick in which is why someone could have a 62 raw lets say and after curve end up with an additional 8.7 points which would get them to a 70 and after that pick up 3 Throwouts and land at a 73 before any additional points Are added. Thats how some people could go from a 62 and end up with close to an 80, in curtain situations. Not everyone is gonna have Alot of Time in rank or any additional points for their score.
HeartsNminds is accurate. First is throw outs/ double answers. Then the curve. Then longevity/ medals/ etc
-- Edited by Bklynsouth3020 on Friday 28th of July 2023 11:55:41 PM
To break this down, we can best look at it this way (assuming DCAS scaling is 0.231 per incorrect answer):
RAW score = score one gets immediately after finishing the exam.
ACTUAL score = addition of any picked up TVB throwouts, triple/double answers, etc. to the raw score.
ADJUSTED score = [ (100 - actual score) X 0.231 ] + Actual Score
FINAL ADJUSTED score = adjusted score + (seniority/military/fitness points IF 70 is reached).
IF 70 isnt reached, then FINAL ADJUSTED is equal to the Adjusted score.
-- Edited by HeartsNminds on Saturday 29th of July 2023 12:16:37 AM
Yes. If you already got the question correct, then youve already been awarded its point. If you get the question wrong; you only get the point if the answer you chose is also recognized as a valid answer by the TVB. That being said, if a question is thrown out that means any answer submitted (A, B; C, or D) will be counted (as long as you didnt leave the question blank).
-- Edited by HeartsNminds on Saturday 29th of July 2023 02:57:04 AM
No assumption, go on facts. Better question is when is the list dropping? Youll have a better visual then .
impossible to know until list comes out, if you got a 72 you might be promoted way after someone who originally failed based on all additional stuff calculated.
ROUGH guesstimate? A 72 may likely wind up somewhere near 80 and be around list # 800.
Keep in mind seniority points as well.
Unfortunately it happens on every exam. I got a unadjusted raw score of a 71 on the recent Captains exam. A guy next to me got a 68 on the original date. However, due to the extra points (military/jst/Time in rank), he ended being 80 names above me, which is significant on a small Captains list. Doesn't sound fair but it's the reality of the process.
That is always a possibility with every exam and it may take longer for some people but if you pass with a raw score you will get promoted and your score can only go up. I would think getting an 80 after getting a raw 72, you are more than guaranteed to promoted
Not necessarily. If its a bottom heavy list with very few original passers who scored in 90s and 80s, a 72 could be a decent score. Keep in mind the lower bulk of the list are people who had failing raw score but passed due to curve. Therefore no-one will know until the list comes out. And if true, people were saying 250 original passers, i say if you pass with raw score you are in a great position.
There is zero way to guesstimate, dont get this persons hopes up/tear them down
Look at your notice of examination. Its broken down by dates
Good point of reference is on the previous LT list an 80 ranged from list numbers 800-750 on a list of 1335 so i would assume an 80 on this list if its around 1400-1500 would be around the same ranging from 700s-800s or if you want to scale it for a bigger list then 800s-to low 900s meaning you would essentially be around the middle of the list which is alot better than being on the bottom end of the list. Thats more realistic and if they historically promote around 180-250 per year then your looking at a 3-4 year wait for a promotion
But that test an 80 was more low middle raw score..and they didnt have a ton of throw outs
an 80 on this test raw prob puts you in top 100-125 based on scores we have heard so far
I sent another foil request last month with no response. Im still hearing mid August though
Did TVB start or finish ?
This TVB shit must be wrapping up at this point. Didnt Dcas request Lts about 2 months ago for the TVB process. Im sure it doesnt take more then a month to complete TVB.
What makes you say that? One has nothing to do with the other and just Because no one knows/does not want to say that the tvb is going on does not mean its not going on.
Totally agree with yankeefanhatebsox.