Rising Star for the NYPD Sergeant, Lieutenant, and Captain Exam

Survey: Input your total score for your estimate spot on the List

vote(s)

95-100

7.7%

90-94

15.3%

85-89

19.4%

80-84

19.9%

75-79

21.4%

70-74

10.2%

69-below

6.1%

4th Time said
Nov 2, 2017

Are most people adding their true score or what they think what they will end up with? ie longevity, military time, etc....

TooSucio4u said
Nov 2, 2017

brooklynbacon wrote:
DRPapi1983 wrote:
machine wrote:
Input your score plus the points you know you will be getting to know where you're standing.

As of today Wednesday 11/1/2017, with 150 votes, if Spartan is right and the list is about 1050, here is what the % means in numbers and where that number would land you on the list: APPROXIMATELY.
# people with score Spot on list
95-100@8%=84 people ====0-100s on list
90-94@14.7%=154 people ===under 200on list
85-89@18.7%=196 people ===2-400s on list
80-84@22%=231 people ====4-600s on list
75-79=20%=210 people =====6-800s on list
70-74=11.3%=118people =====8-900+ on list

Calculations:

%/100*total= number

8/100*1050=84

-- Edited by machine on Wednesday 1st of November 2017 10:38:16 PM
I concur with these stats sir !
If 22% of test passers got a 90 or up then this list will have 3900 names on it. I could see that happening...

Wait..... what? LoL

DRPapi1983 said
Nov 2, 2017

TooSucio4u wrote:
brooklynbacon wrote:
DRPapi1983 wrote:
machine wrote:
Input your score plus the points you know you will be getting to know where you're standing.

As of today Wednesday 11/1/2017, with 150 votes, if Spartan is right and the list is about 1050, here is what the % means in numbers and where that number would land you on the list: APPROXIMATELY.
# people with score Spot on list
95-100@8%=84 people ====0-100s on list
90-94@14.7%=154 people ===under 200on list
85-89@18.7%=196 people ===2-400s on list
80-84@22%=231 people ====4-600s on list
75-79=20%=210 people =====6-800s on list
70-74=11.3%=118people =====8-900+ on list

Calculations:

%/100*total= number

8/100*1050=84

-- Edited by machine on Wednesday 1st of November 2017 10:38:16 PM
I concur with these stats sir !
If 22% of test passers got a 90 or up then this list will have 3900 names on it. I could see that happening...
Wait..... what? LoL

Look at the stats ,....lol,..thats a ruse,..the stats are on point ,...think the list will look similar to the above stats

machine said
Nov 12, 2017

Only 173 votes, anyone else?

Zeph said
Nov 12, 2017

Thats a very good sample size. Sometimes, statisticians only take about 600 to 1000 samples for a population of millions of people.

Oooh-yeah said
Nov 12, 2017

I bet every single top score voted lol

redcons2 said
Nov 14, 2017

-- Edited by redcons2 on Tuesday 14th of November 2017 06:23:57 PM

machine said
Nov 14, 2017

Tuesday 11/14/2017, calcuations updated to with 176 votes. For results, see first post.

DRPapi1983 said
Nov 14, 2017

machine wrote:
Tuesday 11/14/2017, calcuations updated to with 176 votes. For results, see first post.

Thanks

ManHands said
Nov 20, 2017

Zeph wrote:
Thats a very good sample size. Sometimes, statisticians only take about 600 to 1000 samples for a population of millions of people.

No it's not. Most people voting are people that passed and then within that group people who did well. A +90 on ANY LIST will never be #200.

Oooh-yeah said
Nov 20, 2017

ManHands wrote:
Zeph wrote:
Thats a very good sample size. Sometimes, statisticians only take about 600 to 1000 samples for a population of millions of people.
No it's not. Most people voting are people that passed and then within that group people who did well. A +90 on ANY LIST will never be #200.

I agree with you ManHands

brooklynbacon said
Nov 20, 2017

ManHands wrote:
Zeph wrote:
Thats a very good sample size. Sometimes, statisticians only take about 600 to 1000 samples for a population of millions of people.
No it's not. Most people voting are people that passed and then within that group people who did well. A +90 on ANY LIST will never be #200.

The 2006 list had 1285 people and a 90+ put you coincidentally in the top 90.

Half of the people who voted 95-100 probably failed.

3yrWonder said
Mar 28, 2018

So now that were hearig a list of 1287 people, according to this survey, if we were to apply the percentages, roughly 290 people scored 90 and above and around 500 scored between 80 and 90. Thats about 800 people 80 and above. Do we think this survey is a fair representation of whats to come?

CappedOut said
Mar 28, 2018

I don't think so. People lower on the list or without the time in rank could care less when this test comes out. Thus, they're not on the board and aren't voting.

I do think there will be a lot of people above a 90, but not 300. 140 above a 90 is my guess.

-- Edited by CappedOut on Wednesday 28th of March 2018 05:01:26 PM

Leslie said
Mar 28, 2018

CappedOut wrote:
I don't think so. People lower on the list or without the time in rank could care less when this test comes out. Thus, they're not on the board and aren't voting.

I do think there will be a lot of people above a 90, but not 300. 140 above a 90 is my guess.

-- Edited by CappedOut on Wednesday 28th of March 2018 05:01:26 PM

I think youre on point. I just cant see more than 150 ppl scoring a 90+ on this exam

3yrWonder said
Mar 28, 2018

I dont think the survey is that far off. Ive always felt from the beginning there were going to be a lot of high scores. I dont think there will be more than 250 people who scored 90 or better but definitely more than 150. Dont forget, people with a raw score in the mid to high 80s who pick up throwout/double answer, medal and/or seniority points will be pushed into the 90+ category. I think thats going to happen more than people think.

Leslie said
Mar 28, 2018

3yrWonder wrote:
I dont think the survey is that far off. Ive always felt from the beginning there were going to be a lot of high scores. I dont think there will be more than 250 people who scored 90 or better but definitely more than 150. Dont forget, people with a raw score in the mid to high 80s who pick up throwout/double answer, medal and/or seniority points will be pushed into the 90+ category. I think thats going to happen more than people think.

True but the majority of people scored in the 70s guaranteed. I see people getting bumped into the 90s but dont believe as much as people believe. I think the 90s your hearing about sound like alot but its you only hearing from people really exited about doing well on the exam and that studied their asses off. Plus you dont see that many people getting lots of seniority points like a Sgts list where cops get promoted with 15 years on lol it does not happen at the same rate. Who knows though only my two senses

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